A SIMPLE APPROACH FOR MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION-MAKING ON BASIS OF PROBABILITY THEORY

In the present paper, a new concept of favorable probability is proposed first, and simplified approach for multi-criteria decision-making developed on basis theory. It assumes that all performance indexes alternatives can be divided into beneficial unbeneficial types in decision-making, each index alternative makes its contribution to partial positively or negatively correlative manners linearly upon type unbeneficial; with same physical meaning normalized group; product an total alternative. As consequence, ranked according their comparatively decision-making. application examples method, quantitative assessment selection effective dwelling house walls, project managers contractor construction works are given detail, satisfied results obtained.